After the riots, strikes, and constant shortage of one
utility or the other, Belize received unexpected news last Tuesday. After a
meeting with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) in Belize, the Belize
Business Bureau’s (BBB) executive committee stated that IMF had described Belize’s
economy as “robust.”
After meeting with Belize’s industry representatives,
including cane farmers, the Belize Chamber of Commerce and Industry, Central
Bank and Ministry of Finance, along with the tourism sector, IMF
representatives stated that all discussions were “frank and friendly.” Other
IMF conclusions included: economy growth has increased by 50% and the need for Belize
to keep away from fraudulent investments;IMF reiterated the recommendation they
had previously given Belize to minimize their consumption, particularly by the
public sector. It was agreed that Government of Belize needs to “tighten its
belt” for a prudent time so as to maintain fiscal deficit under three percent.
Other conclusions by the IMF team were that that the peg
of the Belize dollar to the US dollar is excellent and devaluation would not be
good. IMF stated that the present tax system is not keeping with growth. They
endorsed the Government of Belize’s intention for further tax reform. The team
also agreed that anti-trust legislation would be an asset to the country’s
economic outlook, however with respect to foreign direct investment, Belize and
small countries must seek genuine investors with a “social face.”
It was concluded that a second tier bank is the way
forward for the facilitating of affordable financing in the rural areas and for
the productive sector, and IMF also noted that the profitability of the
monopolies might be skewing the profit and losses of the small and medium
enterprises.
IMF consultants said that while the Belize Sugar
Industry (BSI) was in need of urgent attention, BSI was regarded as efficient
when compared to other countries in the Caribbean. Although findings revealed
that the foreign reserves are healthy for the fiscal year 2005-2006, with
respect to the continued rise in electricity, further co-generation expansion
is needed
Finally, IMF stated unequivocally that there is an
urgent need to come to a social consensus to move Belize forward; continued
social upheaval as in the immediate past and present was the way down the road
to economic and social collapse after which recovery would be painful and
lengthy.
The IMF team consisted of Bernard Fritz-Krockon, Mission
Chief, along with Was McGrew, Mariana Torres, and Gamal El-Masry. Accompanying
the team was Central Bank of Belize representative Yvette Alvarez. Representing
the BBB executive committee were President Dr. Cardo Martinez, Bridgett Cullerton
(General Manager for the Citrus Growers Association), Meilton Auil (General
Manager for JMA Motors), Ricardo Pelayo (Manager for IBD Division Atlantic Bank
of Belize Limited), Elizabeth Ross (President for the Caye Caulker business
Association), Lloyd Carillo (General Manager for the St. Francis Credit Union),
Giacomo Sanchez (President for the Institute of Chartered Accountants), and Misael
Flores and Arturo Lizarraga (financial consultants).
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